New data from the REACT study reveal that the prevalence of COVID is 60% lower in one month, but primary school children have the highest level of COVID infection
The Real-Time Community Transmission Assessment Program (REACT) was commissioned by the Department of Health to officially monitor the spread of COVID-19.
At the moment, more than 127,000 people in the UK are dead from the virus. So far, there have been 4.37 million cases.
COVID rates lower by 60%
Compared to the last drop in data in February, observations for March show that the prevalence rate of COVID is lower by 60%. Scientists link this decline to measures of social exclusion and the ongoing vaccination process.
The team further found that infections lead to fewer hospitalizations and deaths, suggesting that the vaccine works.
However, children of primary school age from 5 to 12 years are now the group with the highest level of COVID infection, with 0.41%. The reopening of schools is thought to be the reason why children have become the most infected group.
Now, the lowest rate of COVID infection in people aged 65 and over is 0.09%.
‘Follow the rules’
Professor Paul Elliott, director of the REACT program at Imperial School of Public Health, commented: “We have seen a satisfactory decline in infections since our last survey in February, and infections have been declining by about 60%. This is extremely encouraging and shows that we are going in the right direction.
“However, in our latest data, the infection rate has been equalized with the R number, which is now around one. This shows that we must continue to approach the situation with caution and stick to the rules. “
Does R fall?
Although R has dropped dramatically, it is currently on a plateau. The third wave that exists in the EU is currently not in the UK – but the team warns that R remains at 1.0. This means that the infection rate is currently a delicate equilibrium, which will vary as the UK begins the long-awaited reopening of society.
In the latest data drop, the vaccine fluctuation was strongest in London.