Get betting tools used by professionals
TRY FOR FREE
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Odds
|Aston Villa odds||-105 [BET NOW]|
|Odds on Crystal Palace||+275 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+270 [BET NOW]|
|Over / below||2.5 (-133 / + 100) [BET NOW]|
|Day / Time||Saturday, 10:00 ET|
Odds from Thursday at 18:00 ET and by the way BetMGM. Get current $ 500 deposit in BetMGM or see more deals and reviews for the best online sports books.
Aston Villa expect to achieve three wins in four matches on Saturday when they host Crystal Palace for a clash in the Premier League.
The Villans have repeated themselves after being nearly knocked out last season as they are currently in eighth place in the standings. However, they have struggled at Villa Park this season, passing without a win in the last four slopes of the home.
Can Aston Villa finish their attack against the Crystal Palace team that is fighting?
In contrast, the Eagles had an absolute slide of the season. The Eagles are in 13th place with a score of 5-3-6, culminating in a win over Manchester United at Old Trafford in the second game of the season. Recently, Crystal Palace was handed a 7-0 defeat by Liverpool.
Aston Villa beat Crystal Palace 2-0 at Villa Park during the restart this summer, so will we see a repeat of what happened in July?
The Villans have improved drastically since the restart. So many have turned into one of the league’s most powerful fouls. Aston Villa’s current average of 1.87 expected goals per game is the second best rate among 20 teams and has one of Jack Grealish’s best attacking players.
Prominent already has five goals and six assists to his name, plus he has the third most anticipated 90-minute assist behind just Kevin De Bruyne and Bruno Fernandes.
Aston Villa barely survived relegation last season, and much of that was because they played poorly defensively, allowing 1.99 xG per game. However, the Villans made drastic improvements, allowing only 1.00 xG per match.
The Villans made several key additions to their attack in the transfer window, bringing Ollie Watkins (Brentford), Bertrand Traore (Lyon) and Ross Barkley (Chelsea) into the fold. Watkins, who was the biggest addition, was the top scorer from the Championship last season and already has six goals.
Ultimately, the way this team plays, they could be the top six in the league and should be able to deal with an below-average team like Crystal Palace.
Outside of Norwich City last season, Crystal Palace was the worst team in the league during the restart. However, the Eagles found their usual place around the middle of the table to start this campaign.
The basic metrics for Crystal Palace last season weren’t nice, as manager Roy Hodgson’s team had the fourth worst xGD in the league. This year it was the same story, as the Eagles have -3.36 xGD. Their defense hovered around the league average, allowing 1.32 xG per game.
However, Crystal Palace will be left without their two starting central defenders – Mamadou Sahko and Gary Cahill – so they could have problems on defense.
The biggest difference between the past two seasons was the Eagles attack. Crystal Palace averaged 1.18 expected goals per game, which doesn’t sound like much, but it’s much better than its 0.74 expected goals per game average during a restart last season.
Projections and Pick
I think Aston Villa is underrated in this place, especially with Crystal Palace at the back.
Since I have an Aston Villa projected at minus-158, I think there is an abundance of values on its monetary number ranging from -105 on BetMGM to -113 on DraftKings.
Select: Aston Villa ML (-105). Play up to -130.